NFL Betting 2022: Sam Monson’s Week 3 Favorite Picks | NFL and NCAA betting picks

Bet on Bucs (-1.5) to keep winning: The Tampa Bay defense could be the star of a landmark showdown with the Packers in Week 3, making the Buccaneers a good bet.

Bet on Giants and Cowboys to surpass the 39-point total: Both teams are designed for a low-scoring case, but have enough firepower to overcome that number.

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Estimated reading time: 4 minutes

a feature of PFF’s new mobile app is Smart Bets, which uses PFF data and insights to highlight betting advantages throughout the NFL season. The week 1 Monday Night Football contest saw the app spot strong value on the Seattle Seahawks to cover the spread, only to see them immediately win against their former quarterback.

In this article, I’m going to highlight a few NFL week 3 bets that I like the most.

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Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5)

PFF Smart Bet Note: ONE

It’s not pretty, but the Buccaneers are struggling this season and still getting victories. They beat the Dallas Cowboys and the New Orleans Saints – two tough teams – and while they haven’t scored more than 20 points in either game, the defense looks grim this season. Green Bay’s wide receivers are a big problem and they’re compounding problems on the offensive line. Tampa Bay has the defense to make this a low-scoring affair, and they’ve been making enough plays on offense to stay ahead of the game each week. I think, overall, the Packers have more problems than the Bucs. I like that Tampa Bay continues this race into week 3.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants: 39+ points

PFF Smart Bet Note: ONE

There are plenty of reasons to lose both the New York Giants and the Dallas Cowboys, even though they are 3-1 combined so far this season. There’s a reason this total is as low as it is, but Brian Daboll’s impact is already obvious with the Giants. Daniel Jones boasts an adjusted completion rate of 81.6% and has been arguably the most accurate quarterback in the league this season. The Giants are running a veritable meritocracy on offense, and weaklings like Kenny Gollday earned two snaps last week. While Dallas’ defense looks impressive, there’s enough firepower on both offenses to push that total to the limit.

Houston Texans @ Chicago Bears: 40.5+ points

PFF Smart Bet Note: B

The Chicago offense has scored 29 total points in two games so far this season, but one of them was in a downpour and they were denied a touchdown in the replay review against the Packers in Week 2. That offense didn’t look good, but it showed. that the offensive line is not as problematic as it originally appeared. Houston’s offense looked good against the Colts before fighting in Denver. Davis Mills is averaging just 5.6 yards per attempt, but he’s also had a drop rate of over 10% — a metric that’s extremely volatile week-over-week.

New Orleans Saints (ML -160) @Carolina Panthers

PFF Smart Bet Note: ONE

The Saints finally lost to the Bucs last week in the regular season — something this article was pushing ahead of the game — but they’re good value to bounce back against a Panthers team that seems to have no direction. Baker Mayfield may be Carolina’s best choice at quarterback, but the offense has zero creativity and his PFF rating is 45.5 in two games. Last week also saw the decline of Jameis Winston. He made four turnover-worthy plays against Tampa Bay, though he’s not likely to repeat that kind of performance this week.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders (+6.5)

PFF Smart Bet Note: B

Washington is a tough team to buy this season, but it has a lot of firepower on offense and a quarterback that is quite capable of taking the ball to the stars, even if there are some unavoidable bad plays on the other side of that coin. After two weeks, the eagles are absolutely justified in being favorites for this game, even away from home, but Washington’s attack showed that they can withstand a penalty shootout with teams and it’s a good bet to cover that number and keep the dispute going. closer to expected.

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